Same to all of us. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. Do you know the odds of being alive? Are they gross exaggerations? So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. Now things start getting interesting. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Why? The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. An unimaginably long time. Thats 150,000 generations. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. How fast does a laden fly fly? Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. But let's think about this some more. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. And worry and fear? Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Step 2. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). Part of HuffPost Wellness. Something was dropped and then picked up. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. But on all probability it would. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. You have lived your life. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. dr ali binazir odds of being born. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Step 1. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Are they gross exaggerations? In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Onward to freedom! If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. xx, Lets be social! It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Dr. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. One in 2,000. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Now things start getting interesting. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Are they gross exaggerations? On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). Those who are brave (foolish?) The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. dr ali binazir odds of being born. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Are You a Miracle? How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments.
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